Halted

Tide Forecast is paused — the operator stopped it. Remove the .HALT file in secrets/ to start it again.

Wins more often than it loses (55% win rate) but still -$9.77 net — the average loss is bigger than the average win. Hit rate is not edge until net P&L turns positive.

55%

Win rate · 227 settled · but net downREAL

-$9.77

Realized P&L · REAL MONEYREAL

01 Your money real money on Kalshi

Cash in Kalshi

$10.09

what you have left to bet with

Money in play

$0.01

0 bets on Kalshi · pays back when settled

Won/lost so far

-$9.77

across 227 settled bets

Win rate

55%

125 won · 102 lost · still net negative

Best win: +$0.91 — “DC low lands at 56°F” · Worst loss: -$0.92 — “Denver low stays under 42.5°F”

02 Recent bets last ten, plain-English

Bet	Cost	Status	Won/Lost
Minneapolis low lands at 52°F KXLOWTMIN-26MAY24-T52	$0.19	settled	-$0.21
DC low stays under 52.5°F KXLOWTDC-26MAY24-B52.5	$0.70	settled	+$0.28
DC low stays under 54.5°F KXLOWTDC-26MAY24-B54.5	$0.57	settled	-$0.59
Dallas low stays under 65.5°F KXLOWTDAL-26MAY23-B65.5	$0.22	settled	-$0.24
Dallas low stays under 63.5°F KXLOWTDAL-26MAY24-B63.5	$0.92	settled	+$0.07
Dallas low stays under 65.5°F KXLOWTDAL-26MAY24-B65.5	$0.66	settled	+$0.32
Dallas low stays under 67.5°F KXLOWTDAL-26MAY24-B67.5	$0.65	settled	-$0.67
Chicago low stays under 56.5°F KXLOWTCHI-26MAY24-B56.5	$0.78	settled	+$0.20
Chicago low misses 57°F band KXLOWTCHI-26MAY24-T57	$0.38	settled	-$0.40
Boston low stays under 49.5°F KXLOWTBOS-26MAY24-B49.5	$0.66	settled	+$0.32